RadioFreeLiberal.com

Smart Voices, Be Heard
It is currently Sun May 20, 2018 11:01 pm

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]


Forum rules


Please click here to view the forum rules



Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 20 posts ] 
Author Message
PostPosted: Thu May 10, 2018 2:30 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Let's put everything about the midterms here predictions analysis candidates etc i'll start.

The Very Stable House Generic Ballot

Outside of a high in December, the Democrats have held a lead of roughly six to eight points

KEY POINT FROM THIS ARTICLE
— On average, Democrats led the generic ballot by 7.1 points over the past year. The monthly average ranged from 6.2 points in February 2018 to 10.1 points in December 2017. The December result was clearly an outlier, however, and may have led to a misinterpretation of more recent results as indicating a significant decline in the Democratic lead.

A steady House generic ballot
— On average, Democrats led the generic ballot by 7.1 points over the past year. The monthly average ranged from 6.2 points in February 2018 to 10.1 points in December 2017. The December result was clearly an outlier, however, and may have led to a misinterpretation of more recent results as indicating a significant decline in the Democratic lead.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2018 6:55 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
2018 midterms kick into full gear with primaries in Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Idaho and Oregon

While most of last week’s primaries were tightly clustered in the rust belt, the next batch of primary states stretch from coast to coast, from the Delaware River to the Pacific Ocean.

Here’s what to watch out for in Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Idaho and Oregon.

https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2018/0 ... -may-15th/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2018 8:02 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Katie Porter Survived Domestic Abuse, Only To Have It Used Against Her In Her Campaign

WASHINGTON ― Four years before law professor Katie Porter launched her campaign for Congress, the single mother of three was flossing her teeth in the bathroom of her home in Irvine, California, when her then-husband barged in.

Matthew Hoffman grabbed his wife’s hands, ripped the floss out of them and threw it away, and then punched the wall so hard that he shattered the faceplate on the light switch and knocked the lights out. He would later tell a judge he was angry because his wife had been brushing her teeth too slowly.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ca ... mg00000004


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sat May 12, 2018 11:21 am 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Picking winners: National Democrats try to winnow the primary field, and not everyone is pleased

LOS ANGELES — Imagine that you’ve never run for elected office. Imagine that you’ve never even considered it; your career, after all, has nothing to do with politics. But then America elects a president who strikes you as so dangerous — so antithetical to your values — that you start thinking about how you can fight back.

You notice that your congressman, who belongs to the same party as the new president, is considered vulnerable. You’re anxious. You’re angry. You’re unwilling to stand idly by. So you decide to make the leap and run against him in the upcoming midterm elections.

https://www.aol.com/article/news/2018/0 ... /23432842/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue May 15, 2018 2:03 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Georgia GOP gov. candidate wants to round up immigrants in 'deportation bus'

A Republican Georgia state senator running for governor announced the start of his “Deportation Bus Tour” on Tuesday, which he said will consist of rounding up illegal immigrants in a school bus labeled “Murderers, rapists, kidnappers, child molestors, and other criminals on board.” It misspells molesters.

Michael Williams, who was his state’s co-chair for President Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, said the tour aims to “shine a light on the dangers of sanctuary cities and the overwhelming problem of illegal immigration.” The bus will make stops in Clarkston, Decatur and Athens, the state’s three sanctuary cities. Sanctuary cities generally limit police compliance with federal immigration authorities.

https://www.aol.com/article/news/2018/0 ... /23435309/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue May 15, 2018 10:13 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Primary election results: Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics ... ska-oregon


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue May 15, 2018 10:55 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Montgomery Councilman Burkette wins lengthy Senate District 26 race, for now

Montgomery City Councilman David Burkette won the race for Alabama's Senate District 26 seat after a monthslong campaign that was extended by a Democratic runoff.

The councilman will fill the vacancy left by Quinton Ross in the fall when he stepped down to become president of Alabama State University. Burkette defeated Republican candidate Darrell "DJ" Johnson, a political newcomer, who acknowledged the difficult path conservatives have in the district that has historically been Democratic.

https://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com/st ... 607976002/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue May 15, 2018 11:59 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Kara Eastman has upset Brad Ashford in NE02 race

Image


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 12:42 am 
Online
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2013 3:07 am
Posts: 9701
Primary election results: Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics ... ska-oregon


Interesting, a Bernie Sanders progressive did win a primary race in Idaho, for governor. Paulette Jordan a Coeur d’Alene tribal member.

And a dog named Raul, a Labrador, almost won the Republican primary race there, however Little Brad squeaked by. :)



Other than that it appears conventional Democrats won the primary's in the other three states. The ones who raised the most, or almost the most funds won.

It looks to me like folks are interested in winning these races and kicking out the Republican more than they are about the finer ideological points of Sanders progressive purity.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 12:48 am 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Two Socialists In Pennsylvania Just Won Victories Democrats Can’t Ignore

Update, 9:45 PM, 6/15: Sara Innamorato and Summer Lee, both members of Pittsburgh’s chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America, have defeated Dom and Paul Costa, both incumbent state representatives, in Pennsylvania’s Democratic primary. No Republican candidate has filed to run in either district. Rep. Dom Costa, defeated by Innamorato, mounted a late write-in bid for the GOP’s ballot line. It is unclear both whether it was successful, and if it was, what his intentions are for the November general election.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/20 ... 1-results/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 1:17 am 
Online
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2013 3:07 am
Posts: 9701
Two Socialists In Pennsylvania Just Won Victories Democrats Can’t Ignore

Update, 9:45 PM, 6/15: Sara Innamorato and Summer Lee, both members of Pittsburgh’s chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America, have defeated Dom and Paul Costa, both incumbent state representatives, in Pennsylvania’s Democratic primary. No Republican candidate has filed to run in either district. Rep. Dom Costa, defeated by Innamorato, mounted a late write-in bid for the GOP’s ballot line. It is unclear both whether it was successful, and if it was, what his intentions are for the November general election.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/20 ... 1-results/


I love that Mother Jones title, Two Socialists In Pennsylvania Just Won Victories Democrats Can’t Ignore

Democrats Can’t Ignore,,, from day to day I can't even remember the name of my state Rep.

I'm sure Democrats all across the land will be all-a-flutter tomorrow about how these two Democratic Socialists got a combined 12,412 votes and each winning a state Rep seat somewhere in Pittsburgh.

According to an update: "With 99% precincts reporting, it appears that Dom Costa’s attempt to obtain the GOP ballot line fell short by about two dozen votes. Innamorato finishes with 5,757 votes, nearly 65% of votes cast. Summer Lee won with 6,655 votes, or almost 68% of votes cast."


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 12:57 pm 
Offline
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2011 5:46 pm
Posts: 5069
Location: Treasure Coast, Florida & Fairfield County, Connecticut

Interesting, a Bernie Sanders progressive did win a primary race in Idaho, for governor. Paulette Jordan a Coeur d’Alene tribal member.

And a dog named Raul, a Labrador, almost won the Republican primary race there, however Little Brad squeaked by. :)



Other than that it appears conventional Democrats won the primary's in the other three states. The ones who raised the most, or almost the most funds won.

It looks to me like folks are interested in winning these races and kicking out the Republican more than they are about the finer ideological points of Sanders progressive purity.


:arrow: Yep, and when the general election rolls around in November, remember what Pres. Harry S. Truman said~ "Given the choice between a Republican and someone who acts like a Republican, people will vote for the real Republican all the time" There's nothing radical about being a true progressive and behaving like one~

_________________
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.
~Franklin D. Roosevelt~


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 8:59 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Former Rep. Shemia Fagan Unseats State Sen. Rod Monroe

Former state Rep. Shemia Fagan (D-Clackamas) will unseat incumbent state Sen. Rod Monroe (D-East Portland) in their Democratic primary battle for his Oregon Senate seat.

In early returns, Fagan has 61.9 percent of the vote, while Monroe has 24.7 percent. Kayse Jama, the executive director of Unite Oregon, is a distant third with 13.1 percent.

http://www.wweek.com/news/2018/05/15/fo ... y-returns/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 3:06 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Sorry Democrats, 2018 won't be the blue wave you were hoping for

In 2004, Democrats had a momentum no amount of Super PAC money could buy. After President George W. Bush’s approval rating soared to 90% following the 9/11 attacks, he steadily lost ground, sinking to his pre-election approval level by early 2003. After Bush ordered the invasion of Iraq in March of that year, his numbers once again spiked to nearly 75%; yet after American fatalities mounted and no evidence of weapons of mass destruction was found, Bush plummeted to the mid-40% mark by early 2004.

With a public disaffected over the prosecution of the war, it appeared Republicans faced long odds to hold the presidency. But to loosely paraphrase Die Hard’s Hans Gruber, “You ask for a miracle, I give you … John Kerry.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/ ... 620839002/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 3:25 pm 
Offline
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 6:57 pm
Posts: 10338
Location: Sunny South Florida
Say, AP215, just wondering.

You do know Christian Schneider, the USA Today columnist you just cited, regularly writes for National Review, Weekly Standard, and The Federalist.

IOW, you're quoting a conservative.

I thought so, given how many times he warns about Democrats being "smug, paternalistic scolds".

_________________
-- Tis an ill wind that blows no minds.
Malaclypse the Younger


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 3:35 pm 
Offline
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2011 11:53 am
Posts: 10871
Say, AP215, just wondering.

You do know Christian Schneider, the USA Today columnist you just cited, regularly writes for National Review, Weekly Standard, and The Federalist.

IOW, you're quoting a conservative.

I thought so, given how many times he warns about Democrats being "smug, paternalistic scolds".

Why would someone do that on this board?

When I saw this GARBAGE I wondered that out loud

_________________
"Small brown babies, clutched in their beaks"


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 3:51 pm 
Offline
Board Emeritus
User avatar

Joined: Thu Jul 02, 2015 6:57 pm
Posts: 10338
Location: Sunny South Florida
I'll hazard a guess.

Like many people, AP wants to warn Democrats not to get too overconfident on this "blue wave" stuff. That's good.

Like some people, AP, it seems to me, anyway, wants to complain Democrats aren't doing as well as they should be, because, of course, party leadership doesn't totally agree with his (insert vision here: progressive, rural moderate/centrist, swing-trumper, etc.)

So, he saw an article on Dems' (purported) declining chances in November, and didn't care he was quoting a conservative who thinks the Dems will lose for being too liberal.

That is my supposition.

_________________
-- Tis an ill wind that blows no minds.
Malaclypse the Younger


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 5:16 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Tax law supporters rally for Republicans in tough races

Business groups that backed the tax bill are trying to help vulnerable Republican lawmakers by highlighting their work on the issue.

They are running ads in the lawmakers’ districts and partnering with them on events at businesses that have benefited from the tax law.

http://thehill.com/policy/finance/38840 ... ough-races


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 5:27 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
Lightfoot reports $243K in campaign cash, tops among Emanuel challengers

A little more than a week after launching her mayoral bid against Mayor Rahm Emanuel, former Chicago Police Board President Lori Lightfoot catapulted past eight other mayoral challengers in fundraising Friday, depositing nearly $250,000 into her campaign fund.

Lightfoot, a former federal prosecutor and partner at the law firm Mayer Brown, reported 78 contributions, totaling $243,000, much of it from fellow attorneys. The money still leaves Lightfoot’s fundraising far behind Emanuel, who recently reported raising nearly $3 million in two weeks, but it could serve as an early signal of her ability to raise enough money to run a viable campaign.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/loca ... story.html


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 6:21 pm 
Online
Board Emeritus

Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2011 3:45 am
Posts: 5923
New poll shows Hubbell leads Dems in primary bid for governor

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll gave Fred Hubbell an 11 point lead with 31% of respondents saying they'd vote for him if the election were held today.

Nate Boulton had the support of 20% of the respondents. Cathy Glasson followed with 13%. John Norris and Andy McGuire both received 5%. Ross Wilburn placed at the bottom with 3%.

http://www.kcrg.com/content/news/New-po ... 42131.html


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 20 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group